Sunday, June 13, 2004

Palestine Policy Paralysis
Face it: There is no "key" to Middle East peace.


For every problem there are reason(s) for the problem
and way(s) to solve the it. Bringing peace to Palestine
is rather easy (it wouldn´t end all violence instantly,
but then violence don´t go on/off just by pushing button,
it takes time for things to cool down), but the
problem is that Israel is not ready for a realistical
peace deal and the Western countries don´t want to
force it accept one. What Smith is advocating here is just
hidden pro-Israeli propaganda; leaving things like they are,
which suites just fine for most Israelis, like it would suit
any typical colonialist sure of his/her own superiority and
afraid of the terrible Native taking back his/her land and'
sending the colonialist backing his/her bags.

There are hard problems to solve, like Kashmir.
Kashmir is far harder problem, because in Palestine
there´s only one side, Israel, you would have to
force to accept a decent deal. In Kashmir you have
two powerful and one mediocre nuclear power, whose
leaders are not ready to any kind of deal that the
people on the ground are ready to accept. They want
independence, but the leaders of China, India and
Pakistan will not accept this. It would be extremely
hard to force China or India to accept any kind of
deal which wouldn´t just make todays division of
Kashmir officially recognized; Pakistan could be forced
to accept other kinds of deals, but it´s current
more-or-less-pro-Western dictator and the secular state are
weak and could be swept away by a Islamist insurrection or
at least a coup would bring another general to become the
new dictator, if the deal wouldn´t suit them.

What Smith advocates is just closing eyes and hoping that
the problem goes away and Israel succedes to drive
Palestinians into bantustans, which then would "solve"
the problem. It wouldn´t solve anything, the violence
would continue, but at least Smith could rejoice the birth
of Greater Israel with his fellow fascists.

It really is rather a suprise how much support Israel
enjoys among the (far-)right. The old antisemitism
remains among the traditionalists, but the newer breed
of rightwingers, like Italy´s neo-Fascists, are quite
keen to support Israel.

And the "key" to Palestine? State of Palestine in 100%
of West Bank and Gaza, compensations for most of the
refugees and right of return for some. Israel´s
demographic fears could be eased if there would be for
example one refugee given right of return for every
person of Jewish descent who emigrates to Israel. Israel
plans to bring over million "Jews" to Israel in the next
10-20 years. This solution would mean right of return
for half a million refugees, whose demograhic effect
on the population of Israel wouldn´t be huge. In the
end of century, two thirds of Israel´s population would
be still of Jewish descent.

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